南京市资源环境承载力监测预警研究

以南京市为案例，在资源环境承载力评价的基础上，结合各区环境胁迫压力变化趋势，综合判定南京市资源环境承载力监测预警等级，并对超载成因进行解析，提出相应的管控对策建议。该研究将南京市资源环境承载力监测预警等级划分为红色预警区、橙色预警区、黄色预警区、蓝色预警区和绿色无警区五级，结果显示目前南京市资源环境承载力预警等级总体处于较高水平。尽管南京市总体社会经济发展的环境胁迫压力相对不大，且具有减缓的趋势，但资源环境承载力的超载状态决定了主城区为红色预警区，江宁区、六合区、浦口区为橙色预警区，溧水区和高淳区则为黄色预警，全市没有分布蓝色预警区和绿色无警区。

Research on Monitoring and Early Warning of Carrying Capacity of Resources and Environment in Nanjing

Taking Nanjing city as an example, based on the assessment of resource and environment carrying capacity and the trend of environmental coercive pressure in each district, this study comprehensively judged the monitoring and early warning level of resource and environment carrying capacity in Nanjing city, analyzed the causes of overload, and proposed corresponding control countermeasures and suggestions. In this study, the monitoring and early warning levels of resource and environment carrying capacity in Nanjing city were divided into five levels: red early warning zone, orange early warning zone, yellow early warning zone, blue early warning zone and green no early warning zone. The results show that the current early warning level of resource and environmental carrying capacity in Nanjing city is generally at a high level. Although the environmental coercive pressure of social and economic development in Nanjing city is relatively small and has a slowing trend, the overload status of resource and environment carrying capacity determines the main urban area as a red early warning zone. Jiangning, Liuhe and Pukou districts are orange early warning zones and Lishui and Gaochun Districts are yellow early warning zones. There is no blue early warning zone and green no early warning zone in the city.