基于最严格水资源管理制度的初始水权分配研究

实行最严格水资源管理制度是2011年中央一号文件明确要求的内容。在分析最严格水资源管理初始水权分配内涵的基础上,首次以水资源管理“三条红线”为准则,构建了包含目标层、准则层、指标层及方案层4个层次结构的初始水权分配指标体系,建立了最严格水资源管理初始水权分配的投影寻踪模型,并采用量子遗传算法优化投影指标函数,以模型计算出的最佳投影值作为初始水权分配的分水比例。最后,以南水北调东线一期工程为例,将本文所建立的模型用来分配该工程净增加供水量的初始调水量。结果表明:该指标体系和模型具有一定的可操作性及有效性。

RESEARCH OF INITIAL WATER RIGHTS ALLOCATION BASED ON THE MOST STRINGENT WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT SYSTEM

To carry out the most stringent water resources management system is the clear requirement in the central number one file of year 2011. Based on the connotation analysis of initial water rights allocation under the most stringent water resources management, firstly the index system of initial water rights allocation which including target layer, criterion layer, index layer and solution layer was constructed by the three red lines for the first time. Secondly, the projection pursuit (PP) model of initial water rights allocation under the most stringent water resources management was established and the projection index function was optimized by the genetic quantum algorithm (GQA). Then, the best projection value calculated in the model was regard as the water proportion of the initial water rights allocation. And lastly, taking the first-stage of South-to-North Water Diversion East Route Project for example, the model was applied to allocate the initial water diversion of all the net increase water supply in this project. The distribution results verify that the index system and the model constructed in this paper have feasibility and effectiveness to a certain degree.