A participatory approach to the establishment of a baseline scenario for a reforestation Clean Development Mechanism project |
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Authors: | Catherine Potvin Petra Tschakert Frédéric Lebel Kate Kirby Hector Barrios Judith Bocariza Jaime Caisamo Leonel Caisamo Charianito Cansari Juan Casamá Maribel Casamá Laura Chamorra Nesar Dumasa Shira Goldenberg Villalaz Guainora Patrick Hayes Tim Moore Johana Ruíz |
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Institution: | (1) Department of Biology, McGill University, 1205 Dr Penfield, H3A 1B1 Montréal, Québec, Canada;(2) Present address: Pennsylvania State University, University Park, USA;(3) Present address: University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada;(4) Universidad de Panamá, Panamá, Panamá;(5) Ipetí-Emberá, Panamá, Panamá;(6) Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Panamá, Panamá;(7) Department of Geography, McGill University, Montréal, Canada |
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Abstract: | This paper is part of a two-year study to investigate the feasibility of initiating a Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) project
in an indigenous community of Eastern Panamá, Ipetí-Emberá. We use participatory mapping and matrices as well as household
surveys to develop a land-use/land-cover baseline scenario and examine the role of local participation in assessing land-use
change. In Ipetí, land-use change has not occurred in a linear way over the last decades, and our data unveils socio-economic
factors as potential key drivers of change. The concordance that we observed between geographic information and individual
and collective perceptions of land-use change substantiates the possibility of using local knowledge in the establishment
of baseline data for CDM projects. Our calculations suggest that the total carbon (C) stocks in the Tierra Colectiva (TC) of Ipetí-Emberá in 2004 represents a 47% reduction from the estimated C stock at the onset of settlement in the early
1970’s. Results from the participatory assessments predict that, in 2024 and in absence of a CDM project, the C stocks will
decline from 301,859 t C in 2004 to 155,730 t C, which constitutes a reduction of 52%. The scenario with CDM estimates C stocks
of 305,853 t C for 2024, a value slightly superior to the 2004 value. In the TC there is ground to believe that cattle ranching
is likely to become an ever more important activity as the population is young and growing and cannot easily move elsewhere.
Forests tend to be cleared for cultivation while pastures are established on short fallows. Our baseline scenario underlines
the potential for a CDM project to make a significant difference in the future C stocks of this landscape. |
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Keywords: | Carbon stocks CDM baseline Participatory approaches Pasture Demography |
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