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Disaster resilience and population ageing: the 1995 Kobe and 2004 Chuetsu earthquakes in Japan
Authors:Haili Chen  Norio Maki  Haruo Hayashi
Institution:1. Assistant Research Professor in the Department of Real Estate and Built Environment, National Taipei University, , New Taipei City, Taiwan;2. Associate Professor, at the Research Centre for Disaster Reduction Systems, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, , Kyoto, Japan;3. Professor at the Research Centre for Disaster Reduction Systems, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, , Kyoto, Japan
Abstract:This paper provides a framework for evaluating the effects of population ageing on disaster resilience. In so doing, it focuses on the 1995 Kobe and 2004 Chuetsu earthquakes, two major disasters that affected Japan before the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake. It analyses regional population recovery on the basis of pre‐disaster and post‐recovery demographic characteristics using defined transition patterns of population ageing. The evaluation framework demonstrates that various recovery measures make different contributions to disaster resilience for each transition pattern of population ageing. With reference to regional population ageing, the framework allows for a prediction of disaster resilience, facilitating place vulnerability assessments and potentially informing policy‐making strategies for Japan and other countries with ageing populations.
Keywords:Japan  Chuetsu earthquake  Kobe earthquake  population ageing  population decline  recovery  resilience
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