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华南地区荔枝寒害风险分析与区划
引用本文:刘锦銮,杜尧东,毛慧琴.华南地区荔枝寒害风险分析与区划[J].自然灾害学报,2003,12(3):126-130.
作者姓名:刘锦銮  杜尧东  毛慧琴
作者单位:广东省气候与农业气象中心,广东,广州,510080
基金项目:国家“十五”科技攻关项目(2001BA509B14),广东省科技攻关项目(B30902),广东省气象局重点项目(200202)
摘    要:以荔枝种植面积最大的广东、广西为代表,依据自然灾害风险分析原理、历年气候、种植面积和产量资料,分别就华南地区各县荔枝的灾损率、易灾性和防寒抗灾能力进行了分析,并以综合的风险指数为区划指标,对华南地区荔枝寒害风险进行了空间区域分划和分区评述。

关 键 词:华南地区  荔枝  寒害  风险分析  风险区划
文章编号:1004-4574(2003)03-0126-05
修稿时间:2003年1月20日

Risk analysis and zonation of cold damage to litchi in South China
LIU Jin-luan,DU Yao-dong,MAO Hui-qin Climatic and Agrometeorological Center of Guangdong Province,Guangzhou ,China.Risk analysis and zonation of cold damage to litchi in South China[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2003,12(3):126-130.
Authors:LIU Jin-luan  DU Yao-dong  MAO Hui-qin Climatic and Agrometeorological Center of Guangdong Province  Guangzhou  China
Institution:LIU Jin-luan,DU Yao-dong,MAO Hui-qin Climatic and Agrometeorological Center of Guangdong Province,Guangzhou 510080,China
Abstract:Taking Guangdong and Guangxi provinces with the largest litchi-growing areas in China as a representa- tive, and based on the risk analysis principles of natural disasters, climate, planting area and yield data, the disas- ter damage rate, vulnerability and cold damage-resisting capacity of the litchi in every county of South China are analyzed. Cold damage risk zonation of litchi is made using a synthetic risk index as zoning criteria,and the features of each region are evaluated.
Keywords:litchi  cold damage  risk analysis  risk zonation
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