滇、桂、粤、闽、台灾害链讨论

由于对洪水、台风和巨大风暴潮的长期预测尚有一定困难，因之需要多学科进行综合研究。本文通过对滇、桂、粤、闽、台地区历史上大震后同年或次年发生上述重大气象灾害的事实，讨论了灾害链的预测，同时也讨论了灾害链的形成机制，包括构造活动、北回归线效应以及孟加拉湾大桥活动的双重后果。文中还提出了4条减灾对策。

A Discussion on Disaster Chain in Yunnan, Guangxi,Guangdong, Fujian and Taiwan

Due to some difficulties in the long-term prediction of flood, typhoon and storm tide, it is necessary to conduct the synthetic study in multiple disciplines. Based on grievous meteorological disasters occurred in the same year or next year of occurrence of big earthquakes in Yunnan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Fujian and Taiwan, the prediction of disaster chain is discussed. Some possible mechanisms of the disaster chain, including tectonic activity, effect of the Tropic of cancer and the dual aftermaths of atmospheric activity in the Bay of Bengal are also discussed. In the paper, 4 strategies for disaster reduction are put forward .