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基于STIRPAT模型的黑龙江省碳排放影响因素研究
作者姓名:孙义  徐晓宇  艾桂艳
作者单位:中环联合认证中心;沈阳农业大学;中科院沈阳应用生态研究所
摘    要:2005年以来,黑龙江省社会经济持续稳步发展,截至2017年,全省GDP达到15903亿元,增长近3倍,人均GDP增长2.89倍,城镇化率达到60%,第三产业占全省生产总值比重达到55.82%。与此同时,全省碳排放量从19095万吨增加到27251万吨,增长1.43倍。通过对黑龙江省13年间社会经济数据的系统分析研判,人均GDP、城镇化率、碳排放强度等因素对全省碳排放量影响显著。

关 键 词:STIRPAT模型  碳排放  影响因素

Research on the Influencing factors of carbon emissions in Heilongjiang Province based on STIRPAT model
Authors:Sun Yi  Xu Xiaoyu  Ai Guiyan
Institution:(Central Joint Certification Center,Beijing 100020,China;Shenyang Agricultural University,Shenyang Liaoning 110866,China;Shenyang Institute of Applied Ecology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Shenyang Liaoning 110016,China)
Abstract:Since 2005,the social and economic development of Heilongjiang Province has continued to develop steadily.As of 2017,the province ’s GDP reached 1.5903 trillion yuan,an increase of nearly three times,the per capita GDP increased by 2.89 times,and the urbanization rate reached 60%.The proportion of GDP reached 55.82%.At the same time,the province’s carbon emissions increased from 199.59 million tons to 27.251 million tons,an increase of 1.43 times.Through a systematic analysis of the 13-year socioeconomic data of Heilongjiang Province,factors such as per capita GDP,urbanization rate,and carbon intensity have a significant impact on the province’s carbon emissions.
Keywords:STIRPAT model  Carbon emissions  Influencing factors
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