| 中国1997-2006年可持续发展动态测度分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 马春,孟伟庆,鞠美庭,李洪远,张晓春,郝翠.中国1997-2006年可持续发展动态测度分析[J].安全与环境学报,2008,8(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 马春 孟伟庆 鞠美庭 李洪远 张晓春 郝翠 |
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| 作者单位： | 南开大学环境科学与工程学院,天津,300071;南开大学生命科学学院,天津,300071 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金
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天津市科技支撑计划
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| 摘 要： | 利用生态足迹分析法对中国1997-2006年的生态足迹与生态承载力进行核算,从而定量测度近10年来中国的可持续发展状况,根据结果对生态足迹的供给和需求进行分析并提出相应的建议和对策.结果表明:10年来,中国的生态足迹快速增长,由1997年的1.287 hm2增长到2006年的1.941 hm2,人均生态赤字从1997年的0.596 9hm2增长到2006年的1.267 0 hm2,自然生态系统处于不可持续的发展状态; 在生态足迹的构成中,能源和水域的生态赤字最为严重,远未满足供需平衡;此外,万元GDP占用生态足迹从1997年的2.014 8 hm2降低到2006年的1.209 8hm2,说明中国资源利用效率提高较快,经济增长方式在向良性发展.
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| 关 键 词： | 生态学 生态足迹 生态承载力 生态足迹供需 可持续发展 |
Dynamic assessment of China's sustainable development possibility based on the eco-environmental footprint during the period of 1997-2006 |
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| MA Chun,MENG Wei-qing,JU Mei-ting,LI Hong-yuan,ZHANG Xiao-chun,HAO Cui.Dynamic assessment of China''s sustainable development possibility based on the eco-environmental footprint during the period of 1997-2006[J].Journal of Safety and Environment,2008,8(6). |
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| Authors: | MA Chun MENG Wei-qing JU Mei-ting LI Hong-yuan ZHANG Xiao-chun HAO Cui |
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| Institution: | MA Chun1,MENG Wei-qing1,JU Mei-ting1,LI Hong-yuan1,ZHANG Xiao-chun2,HAO Cui1(1 College of Environmental Science , Engineering,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China,2 College of Life Science,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper is concerned about its authors' work on the dynamic assessment of China's sustainable development possibility based on the eco-environmental footprint during the period of 1997-2006 in hoping to provide a rather scientifically based assessment of the country's carrying capacity in terms of time sequence and per-capita natural resources exploitation and consumption as well as the rational relationship between man and nature. When choosing the ecological footprint model for evaluating the dynamic c... |
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| Keywords: | ecology ecological footprint ecological carrying capacity ecological footprint supply and demand sustainable development |
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