城市化水平、工业化水平对空气质量的影响分析——基于湖北省16城市2005～2017年数据的时空模型

基于湖北省16城市2005~2017年数据，应用空间计量模型研究城市化水平、工业化水平对空气SO2、NO2、PM10含量的影响。结果显示，在城市化水平中，人均GDP对空气中SO2含量有显著负向影响，对NO2有显著正向影响，民用汽车的数量、公路里程对城市空气中SO2、NO2、PM10含量有显著正向影响，工业化水平对空气中SO2、NO2显著负向影响，对PM10含量有显著正向影响，人均绿地面积对空气中SO2的含量有显著负向影响，对NO2、PM10的影响不显著。为此，必须加快产业转型升级，做好产业发展规划；必须强化城市民用汽车尾气排放检测，加强城市配套园林建设；必须建立城市绿色发展联动机制，做好区域巡查监管。

Analysis of the Influence of Urbanization and Industrialization Level on Air Quality: Based on the Space-Time Model of Data from 16 Cities in Hubei Province in 2005-2017

Based on the data of 16 cities in Hubei Province from 2005 to 2017, the spatial scale model was applied to study the impact on urbanization and industrialization level of the content of SO2, NO2 and PM10 in air. The results show that the per-capita GDP has significant negative effect on the content of SO2 in air and significant positive effect on NO2, the quantity of civil car and highway mileage have significant positive effect on SO2, NO2 and PM10 in urban air, the industrialization level has significant negative effect on SO2 and NO2 in air and significant positive effect on PM10, besides, the per-capita green space area has significant negative effect on SO2 in air and whose effect on NO2 and PM10 is not significant in the urbanization level. Therefore, it is necessary to accelerate the transformation and upgrading of industry and the development plan of it, strengthen the detection of exhaust emission of civil car in urbanization and garden construction of urban matching, establish a city green development linkage mechanism and regional inspection supervision.