汉江流域降水持续天数分布

以汉江流域13个站点1960~2003年的逐日降水资料为基础,分析了该流域年及各季雨日数和雨日平均雨量分布的时空特征，研究表明汉江流域春季平均雨日数占全年的25%~31%,雨量占全年雨量的21%~31%。夏季平均雨日数占全年雨日数的13%~18%,雨量占全年雨量的50%。秋季平均雨日数占全年雨日数的22%~31%,雨量占全年雨量的21%~29%。冬季平均雨日数占全年雨日数13%~22%，雨量占全年雨量的6%，雨日平均雨量仅为28 mm。建立了流域内不同站点、不同季节的持续性雨日概率分布模式，用Polya概率分布对汉江流域各种持续性雨日发生概率进行拟合，结果表明夏季、冬季、秋季拟合效果较好，卡方检验通过率达到95%，而春季有4个站点无法通过检验。利用Polya概率分布模式可以科学地估算流域各地、各季不同持续时段雨日出现的气候概率，为防洪减灾提供依据，也为南水北调中线工程的顺利实施提供科学依据

DISTRIBUTION OF CONTINUED RAINY DAYS IN HANJIANG RIVER BASIN

The study of temporal trend of precipitation in river basins has been paid more and more attention.In this paper,based on the precipitation data from 13 weather stations during 1960~2003 in Hanjiang River basin,the annual and seasonal precipitation and continued rainy days were analyzed.Results showed that average rainy days in spring accounted for 25%~31% of annual rainy days,precipitation accounted for 21%~31% of annual rainfall.In summer,average rainy days accounted for 13%~18% and precipitation accounte...