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泥石流灾情综合评估模式
引用本文:崔鹏,杨坤,韦方强,胡凯衡.泥石流灾情综合评估模式[J].自然灾害学报,2002,11(1):20-27.
作者姓名:崔鹏  杨坤  韦方强  胡凯衡
作者单位:中国科学院-水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所,四川,成都,610001
基金项目:中国科学院创新项目(KZCX2-306),中国科学院重大项目B(KZ951 -B1-202),国家杰出青年基金项目(400
摘    要:泥石流灾情综合评估模式是在灾情绝对评估的基础上建立的。首先,建立了泥石流灾情评估的步骤框图;然后依据已有的泥石流灾情评估指标体系对各项指标进行量化分析处理,将得了各灾情评估指标公值分布及其量纲换算法,确定了反映直接损失的灾情绝对评估指标和相对评估指标(直接经济损失占灾区国民收入的比例),并对绝对和相对评估结果的等级进行了划分;最后,建立了绝对评估和相对评估结果对比的灾情综合评估模式。经过实例应用验证,评估结果能较好地反映灾情。

关 键 词:泥石流灾情  绝对评估  相对评估  综合评估模式
文章编号:1004-4574(2002)01-0020-08
修稿时间:2001年7月16日

Synthetical assessment model of debris-flow hazards
CUI Peng,YANG Kun,WE Fang - qiang,HU Kai - heng.Synthetical assessment model of debris-flow hazards[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2002,11(1):20-27.
Authors:CUI Peng  YANG Kun  WE Fang - qiang  HU Kai - heng
Institution:CUI Peng,YANG Kun,WE1 Fang - qiang,HU Kai - heng
Abstract:Synthetical assessment pattern of debris flow hazards is obtained on the basis of absolute and relative assessment. Assessment steps, as the guide of establishment of pattern, were proposed. Then, indices weights and evaluations of indices were obtained on the basis of various quantified in dices. Expression of absolute assessment index indicating direct economic loss and relative assessment index, the ratio of direct economic loss to total income in disaster area, were obtained. And we obtain grade of absolute and relative assessment results. In conclusion, a comparison is set up between absolute assessment result and relative assessment result .The pattern has found its application in assessing Yaan and Yimen coal mine debris flow. And the assessment result is satisfied.
Keywords:debris flow hazards  absolute assessment  relative assessment  synthetical assessment model
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