| 保山市隆阳区城区尘污染发展趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨鸿亮,李羚.保山市隆阳区城区尘污染发展趋势分析[J].环境科学导刊,2013(5):75-79. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨鸿亮 李羚 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]保山市环境监测站,云南保山678000 [2]保山学院,云南保山678000 |
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| 摘 要： | 目前影响保山市隆阳区城区环境空气质量的主要污染物是PM10和降尘。用一维灰色系统分析法分析PM10和降尘污染的发展趋势，分别建立PM10和降尘在2008--2011年和2009--2012年两个时间段的预测模式GM（1，1），和GM（1，1）2。不论是PM10还是降尘，都呈递增趋势，且GM（1，1）2的预测值和年增加量都远大于GM（1，1）。。GM（1，1）。与GM（1，1）：的行为轨迹相差很大，表明PM10和降尘的变化机制不稳定，污染日趋加重。应从源头控制尘的产生，并加强相关管理，遏制尘污染快速上升趋势，稳定和改善环境空气质量。
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| 关 键 词： | 尘污染 发展趋势 分析 保山 隆阳区 |
Dust Pollution and Its Development in Longyang District of Baoshan Municipality |
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| YANG Hong -liang,LI Ling.Dust Pollution and Its Development in Longyang District of Baoshan Municipality[J].Yunnan Environmental Science,2013(5):75-79. |
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| Authors: | YANG Hong -liang LI Ling |
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| Institution: | 2 ( 1. Baoshan Municipal Environmental Monitoring Station, Baoshan Yunnan 678000 China) |
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| Abstract: | PM10 and dust are the major air pollutants in Longyang District of Baoshan. The one dimensional grey system was employed to analyze their development. The two separate prediction models of the two pollutants, that is GM （1, 1）1 and GM （1, 1）2, were set up for different time periods of 2008 -2011 and 2009 -2012. Both pol-latants kept increasing, and the prediction value and yearly increase of GM （ 1, 1 ） 2 was higher than that of GM （ 1, 1 ） 1. The trajectories of the two model varied much, and this means the change patterns of the two pollutants were not stable. The dust source control needs to be enhanced to curb the growing dust pollution and improve theair quality. |
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| Keywords: | dust pollution development trend analysis Baoshan Longyang District |
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