| 城市人居环境的协调发展度研究——以上海市青浦区为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 董玮琳,陈亮,陈东辉.城市人居环境的协调发展度研究——以上海市青浦区为例[J].云南环境科学,2007,26(1):21-24. |
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| 作者姓名： | 董玮琳 陈亮 陈东辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 东华大学环境科学与工程学院 上海200051(董玮琳，陈亮)，静安区人民政府 上海200001(陈东辉) |
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| 摘 要： | 城市人居环境的可持续发展体系是一个由人口、社会、资源、环境与经济5个子系统构成的开放巨系统。通过提出综合衡量系统“协调性”和“发展水平”的“协调发展度”模型,研究人居环境复合系统内5个子系统之间协调发展度情况。并运用灰色预测理论构建GM(1,N)动态模型,预测未来几年各子系统之间协调发展的状况。
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| 关 键 词： | 人居环境 协调发展度 灰色预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-947X(2007)01-0021-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年7月17日 |
Study on Coordinative Development of Urban Human Settlement |
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| DONG Wei-lin,CHEN Liang,CHEN Dong-hui.Study on Coordinative Development of Urban Human Settlement[J].Yunnan Environmental Science,2007,26(1):21-24. |
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| Authors: | DONG Wei-lin CHEN Liang CHEN Dong-hui |
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| Abstract: | The sustainable development of urban human settlement is an open and huge system combined with five subsystems including population,society,resource,environment and economy.Coordinative development model,a model covering both the coordination and development of the human settlement,is put forward to weigh the level of the five subsystems.Furthermore,base on the gray forecast theory,a dynamic model-GM(1,N) model is pointed out to forecast the trend of coordinative development of the five subsystems in the next few years. |
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| Keywords: | human settlement coordinative development gray forecast |
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