| 自然灾害的模糊风险 |
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| 引用本文： | 白海玲,黄崇福.自然灾害的模糊风险[J].自然灾害学报,2000,9(1):47-53. |
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| 作者姓名： | 白海玲 黄崇福 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京师范大学环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室!北京100875 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金!（49971001） |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了自然灾害风险的本质含义，提出自然灾害分析的瓶颈在于系统的复杂性，解决或缓解这一问题的途径之一是用模糊系统的观点看待自然灾害风险，进行模糊风险分析。介绍了模糊风险的研究现状，给出模糊风险的一般性定义。对最简单的一类模糊风险－可能性－概率风险的定义和表达方法作了介绍。
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| 关 键 词： | 自然灾害 风险 模糊风险性 可能性 概率风险 |
Fuzzy
risk of natural disasters |
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| BAI Hai-ling,HUANG Chong-fu.Fuzzy
risk of natural disasters[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2000,9(1):47-53. |
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| Authors: | BAI Hai-ling HUANG Chong-fu |
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| Abstract: | After the risk essence of natural disaster being analyzed, the fact that the complexity of systems is the bottleneck of risk analysis on natural disasters is presented. One way to resolve this problem is to treat the risk of natural disasters with the view of fuzzy system, and a general definition of fuzzy risk is presented. The definition and showing way of possibility--probability risk, the simplest kind of fuzzy risk, are also introduced. |
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| Keywords: | natural disaster risk fuzzy risk possibility--probability risk |
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