本质安全化管理思想及实证研究框架

分析国内本质安全化管理研究现状及存在问题,指出两类系统本质安全化实现路径的差异性:①技术系统本质安全性等于构成要素的本质安全性乘积,只要保证要素本质安全化,系统也趋于本质安全化;②社会技术系统关键要素是智能体,从根本上无法达到本质安全化,但智能体自身具有一定容错性和自组织性,在相对可靠条件下,需要通过和谐交互机制使系统而获得本质安全化。分析和研讨的基础上,提出交互式安全管理理论的本质安全化管理研究基本思路:基于3层次和谐交互机制的本质安全化动态演化机制;并对系统本质安全化进行了量化;给出判定系统能否实现本质安全化条件以及本质安全化管理的基本函数关系;得出了系统本质安全化是系统安全性极限的结论。

Thoughts and Empirical Research Frame on the Inherent Safety Management Theory

In this paper, the present situation and problems of inherent safety management research are introduced, and the differences between technical systems and social-technical systems are pointed out: for technical systems, system inherent safety equals to the product of inherent safety of system elements, so system inherent safety can be achieved by fulfilling the inherent safety of system elements; ② for social-technical system whose elements are agents, inherent safety can't be achieved by agents. However, agents possess the ability of fault-tolerance and self-organization, so system inherent safety of can be achieved by harmoniously interactive mechanism in the relatively reliable condition. According to the basic concept of interactive safety management, guidelines for inherent safety management is put forward, which is a dynamic evolving mechanism of inherent safety based on the three-level harmoniously interactive mechanism. Furthermore, system inherent safety is quantified. Conditions of whether a system can achieve inherent safety or not, basic functional relations and empirical research frames of inherent safety management are established. An important conclusion is made that inherent safety of a system is the limit of a system safety.