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Seafood from a changing Arctic
Authors:Max Troell  Arne Eide  John Isaksen  Øystein Hermansen  Anne-Sophie Crépin
Institution:1.The Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics,The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences,Stockholm,Sweden;2.The Stockholm Resilience Centre,Stockholm University,Stockholm,Sweden;3.Norwegian College of Fishery Science ,UiT – The Arctic University of Norway,Troms?,Norway;4.Industrial Economics,Nofima,Troms?,Norway
Abstract:We review current knowledge about climate change impacts on Arctic seafood production. Large-scale changes in the Arctic marine food web can be expected for the next 40–100 years. Possible future trajectories under climate change for Arctic capture fisheries anticipate the movement of aquatic species into new waters and changed the dynamics of existing species. Negative consequences are expected for some fish stocks but others like the Barents Sea cod (Gadus morhua) may instead increase. Arctic aquaculture that constitutes about 2% of global farming is mainly made up of Norwegian salmon (Salmo salar) farming. The sector will face many challenges in a warmer future and some of these are already a reality impacting negatively on salmon growth. Other more indirect effects from climate change are more uncertain with respect to impacts on the economic conditions of Arctic aquaculture.
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