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沿海省区洪灾脆弱性空间变化的初步探究
引用本文:孙阿丽,石纯,石勇,许世远,王军.沿海省区洪灾脆弱性空间变化的初步探究[J].环境科学与管理,2009,34(3):36-40.
作者姓名:孙阿丽  石纯  石勇  许世远  王军
作者单位:华东师范大学地理信息科学教育部重点实验室,上海,200062
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重点项目,国家自然科学基金面上项目,上海市重大科技攻关项目 
摘    要:目前,脆弱性评估主要有建立指标体系、依据历史灾情和建立灾损曲线三种方法。选取国内评价洪灾脆弱性的典型指标构建指标体系,并采用主成分分析方法从原始数据中提取占总方差85.614%的3个主成分来分析影响洪灾脆弱性的主要因素,并通过聚类分析的方法来反映沿海省区洪灾脆弱性的空间变化。结果表明:人均产值、城镇建成区面积、居民消费水平、人口密度和地均产值等是影响沿海省区洪灾脆弱性的主要因素。最终沿海11个省区根据脆弱性差异聚成4类。

关 键 词:洪灾  脆弱性评估  主成分分析  聚类分析  空间变化  沿海省区

The Preliminary Inquiry of Flood Vulnerability Space Changes in Coastal Provinces and Autonomous Regions
Sun Ali,Shi Chun,Shi Yong,Xu Shiyuan,Wang Jun.The Preliminary Inquiry of Flood Vulnerability Space Changes in Coastal Provinces and Autonomous Regions[J].Environmental Science and Management,2009,34(3):36-40.
Authors:Sun Ali  Shi Chun  Shi Yong  Xu Shiyuan  Wang Jun
Institution:Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science of Ministry of Education;East China Normal University;Shanghai 200062;China
Abstract:At present,index systems,history disasters data and stage-damage curves are main vulnerability assessment methods.selects typical indicators of the flood vulnerability evaluation to build a system of indicators,extracts 3 factors by PCA accounting for 85.614% of the total variance from the original data to analysis the main factors effecting flood vulnerability,and then according to a cluster analysis,the space changes in coastal provinces and autonomous regions are inflected.The results show: per capita GD...
Keywords:floods  vulnerability assessment  principal component analysis  cluster analysis  changes in the space  coastal provinces and autonomous regions  
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