| 区域地质灾害评价模型综述 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈玉,蔺启忠,王钦军.区域地质灾害评价模型综述[J].防灾科技学院学报,2010,12(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈玉 蔺启忠 王钦军 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院对地观测与数字地球科学中心,北京,110101;中国科学院研究生院,北京,100049
2. 中国科学院对地观测与数字地球科学中心,北京,110101 |
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| 基金项目： | 863项目:多源遥感数据矿区环境与灾害信息精准监测技术(2009AA12Z147);863项目:重大自然灾害遥感快速响应系统(2009AA12Z102)联合资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文分别综述了经验半经验模型、数理统计模型和其它模型在区域地质灾害评价中的应用情况。探讨了这些模型在应用中存在的不确定性的主要来源,并展望了地质灾害评价模型以后的发展趋势。认为对于不同研究程度、不同灾害分布的区域应选择不同的模型;另外应该建立在对区域地质灾害发生发展充分认识的基础上优化数学模型。在评价指标的选择与量化上深入系统分析各指标之间的关联情况,进行优化重组以获得更好的结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 区域地质灾害 评价模型 地质灾害评价 发展趋势 |
Summary of Regional Geological Hazard Assessment Model |
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| Chen Yu,Lin Qizhong,Wang Qinjun.Summary of Regional Geological Hazard Assessment Model[J].Journal of Institute of Disaster-prevention Science and Technology,2010,12(4). |
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| Authors: | Chen Yu Lin Qizhong Wang Qinjun |
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| Institution: | Chen Yu1,2,Lin Qizhong1,Wang Qinjun1(1.Center for Earth Observation and Digital Earth Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100086,2.Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,we summarized the application of the geological hazard assessment models which include empirical semi-empirical model,mathematical statistics model and the other models.We discussed the origin of uncertainty of these models in application and prospected the development tendency of them.As conclusions,we should choose different models with different study areas and different kinds of hazards.Furthermore,we should optimize the models based on further studies of the generation and development pat... |
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| Keywords: | geological hazard assessment regional geological hazard assessment model |
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