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A quantitative succession model for nine montana forest communities
Authors:Stephen R Kessell  Meredith W Potter
Institution:(1) Gradient Modeling, Inc., Box 2666, 59806 Missoula, Montana;(2) Present address: Division of Plant Industry, CSIRO, 2601 Canberra City, ACT, Australia;(3) Rockford College, 61101 Rockford, Illinois
Abstract:A quantitative succession model was developed both to meet resource management needs in Montana's Lewis and Clark National Forest and to develop a modeling methodology. It builds upon previous concepts and incudes three new features: quantitative prediction of all tree species and seedlings; quantitative predictions of important understory species; and successional pathways determined by fire intensity and scorch height. The method is described and demonstrated for selected Montana habitat (community) types. It is also available in managerial guidelines and has been programmed as a new module in theforplan simulator. Weaknesses of this and other models are discussed. Conclusions relate succession modeling to resource management needs.
Keywords:Plant succession  Fire effects modeling  Montana  Lewis and Clark National Forest  Rocky Mountains  Coniferous forests  Fire frequency  Fire intensity
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