The future markets for minerals: Some causes of uncertainty |
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Authors: | Gerald Manners |
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Institution: | Department of Geography, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1 E 6BT, UK |
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Abstract: | This paper argues that the major uncertainties surrounding the future markets for minerals derive from three serious lacunae in mineral intelligence – first, the altered investment climate for minerals, the undetermined magnitude and geography of its effects, and its prospective impact upon supply; second, the paucity of macroeconomic, medium-term forecasts for the OECD economies, a deficiency that has seriously undermined the possibility of generating useful resource demand forecasts; and third, the indeterminate speed at which changes in the geography of mineral processing activities and metal manufacture are likely to occur. |
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