基于灰色系统理论的煤与瓦斯突出预测

为了对煤与瓦斯突出事故进行有效的预防与控制 ,笔者应用灰色系统理论中的灰色聚类评估方法 ,对矿井的煤与瓦斯突出进行了预测。经实例证明 ,与常用的预测方法相比 ,灰色聚类预测方法具有能动态预测、预测准确等优点。该方法将影响突出的多个因素综合系统的来考虑 ,跳出了常规预测方法只依靠单一指标进行预测的圈子 ,提高了预测的准确性。研究结果表明 ,该方法能准确地反映矿井煤与瓦斯突出规律 ,是一种新的煤与瓦斯突出预测的方法

Prediction of Coal and Gas Outburst Based on Grey System Theory

Grey cluster assessment of the grey system theory is used to predict the outburst of coal and gas in mine so as to have effective prevention and control on this kind of accident. As demonstrated, the instance shows that the grey cluster assessment has such advantages as accurate and dynamic prediction compared with the usual prediction method. The method is superior over the routine one which carries out prediction only by one single index, while the new one makes the prediction through the integration of multiple dominant factors. The study indicates that the grey cluster assessment is a new prediction method for the outburst of coal and gas, and capable of reflecting the objective laws of the outburst.