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等维灰数递补动态模型在废水排放量预测中的应用研究
引用本文:阎伍玖,桂拉旦,桂清波,钱龙霞.等维灰数递补动态模型在废水排放量预测中的应用研究[J].环境科学与管理,2008,33(1):16-18.
作者姓名:阎伍玖  桂拉旦  桂清波  钱龙霞
作者单位:1. 广东商学院,旅游与环境学院,广东,广州,510320;安徽师范大学,生命科学学院,安徽,芜湖,241000
2. 广东商学院,旅游与环境学院,广东,广州,510320
3. 北京师范大学,水科学研究院,北京,100875
基金项目:广东商学院校科研和教改项目 , 安徽省软科学基金
摘    要:为了克服GM(1,1)预测模型的不足,提出了污染物排放量预测的等维灰数递补动态预测模型。考虑到用QB、C等语言编写程序比较繁杂,本文利用MATLAB软件编写了对应的计算程序,该程序简化了参数的求解过程并减少了程序量。通过对“十一五”期间安徽省工业和生活废水排放量预测的实际应用,验证了等维灰数递补动态预测模型在污染物排放量预测中应用的可行性。

关 键 词:工业和生活废水  等维灰数递补动态预测模型  安徽省
文章编号:1673-1212(2008)01-0016-02
修稿时间:2007年4月16日

Study on the Dynamic Forecasting Model with Recursive Compensation by Grey Numbers of the Contaminated Water Drainage
Yan Wujiu,Gui Ladan,Gui Qingbo,Qian Longxia.Study on the Dynamic Forecasting Model with Recursive Compensation by Grey Numbers of the Contaminated Water Drainage[J].Environmental Science and Management,2008,33(1):16-18.
Authors:Yan Wujiu  Gui Ladan  Gui Qingbo  Qian Longxia
Institution:Yan Wujiu, Gui Ladan, Gui Qingbo, Qian Longxia ( 1. College of Environment and Tourism, Guangdong University of Commerce, Guangzhou 510320, China; 2. College of Life Science, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241000, China; 3. Institute of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China)
Abstract:In order to overcome the weakness of GM ( 1,1 ) model, this paper put forward dynamic forecasting model with recursive compensation by grey numbers of identical dimensions. Considering it's rather complicated to write the program with QB, C and so on, the paper makes use of MATLAB software to write the program of dynamic forecasting model with recursive compensation by grey numbers of identical dimensions, which simplifies the process of getting the parameter and reduces the program. By forecasting industrial and life contaminated water drainage during the eleventh five years in Anhui province, the paper explains its feasibility.
Keywords:industrial and life contaminated water  dynamic forecasting model with recursive compensation by grey numbers of identical dimensions  Anhui province
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