家庭保障、劳动力结构与农户土地流转——基于江苏省142户农户的实证研究

促进农村土地流转，提高土地资源利用效率是今后我国农业应付国际市场竞争的重要手段。首先简要回顾了国内外有关农户土地流转行为的动因研究状况，并分析了各影响因素的作用机理，然后利用2007年在江苏省高邮市、兴化市两地4个村随机抽取的142个农户家庭调查数据，从实证的角度考察了当今农户在土地流转市场上的行为。采用probit和tobit模型，较好地描述了农户的土地流转行为及其相应的土地面积。发现家庭保障水平越高的农户转出其土地的可能性越大、转出地面积也越多。农业劳动力越多的农户则转入土地的可能性越大，与之相反非农劳动力较多的农户则转出的土地较多。农户家庭保障水平低下和非农就业机会的限制可能是我国农地流转市场发展缓慢的重要因素。

EMPIRICAL RESEARCH ON THE DETERMINANTS OF FARMERS&rsquo|BEHAVIOR OF LAND TRANSFER ——BASED ON 142 FARMERS IN TWO COUNTIES OF JIANGSU PROVINCE

It is very important for Chinese agricultural competitiveness in the international market in the future to promote the transfer of farmers' land and to improve the utilization of land resources.The paper begins with a brief introduction to the research status of factors influencing farmers' land transfer,then it analyzes the farmers' behavior of land transfer from empirical study basing on field questionnaires completed by 142 farmers which were randomly selected from four villages in Gaoyou and Xinghua Cou...