| 基于SD模型的博尔塔拉河流域水资源承载力研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 董雯,任文建,刘志辉.基于SD模型的博尔塔拉河流域水资源承载力研究[J].新疆环境保护,2008,30(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 董雯 任文建 刘志辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆大学资源与环境科学学院,乌鲁木齐,830046 |
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| 摘 要： | 从水资源承载力的研究方法入手，采用系统动力学方法进行水资源承载力定量化计算，在对博尔塔拉河流域地理环境现状和该方法建模思路分析的基础上，建立适合该地区特色的系统动力学模型（简称SD模型）。应用Yenism软件，把各参数代入方程，对博尔塔拉河流域水资源利用和需求进行动态计算。通过对模型计算结果的分析，验证了模型的合理性和可操作性，从而为博尔塔拉河流域水资源承载力的进一步研究提供了必要的手段，也为其他区域的水资源可持续利用研究提供了一定的借鉴。
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| 关 键 词： | 博尔塔拉河流域 水资源承载力 系统动力学模型 |
Study on Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Bortala River Basin Based on System Dynamics Model |
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| DONG Wen,REN Wen-jian,LIU Zhi-hui.Study on Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Bortala River Basin Based on System Dynamics Model[J].Environmental Protection of Xinjiang,2008,30(3). |
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| Authors: | DONG Wen REN Wen-jian LIU Zhi-hui |
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| Institution: | DONG Wen,REN Wen-jian,LIU Zhi-hui(School of Resources , Environmental Science,Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830065,China) |
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| Abstract: | According to the methods of Water Resources Carrying Capacity,the programming method is adopted combining the quantitative calculation with the system dynamics method.Based on the analysis of modeling ideas and the geographic environment situation in Bortala River Basin,the SD model(abbreviation of System Dynamics Model) is established,By applying vensim modeling software to dynamically simulate the water resources utilization and demands through adding the parameters into equations,the results proves that ... |
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| Keywords: | Bortala River Basin water resources carrying capacity system dynamics model |
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