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| 集合数值预报系统在上海市空气质量预测预报中的应用研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 王茜伏晴艳王自发王体健刘萍陆涛林陈渊段玉森黄嫣旻.集合数值预报系统在上海市空气质量预测预报中的应用研究[J].环境监控与预警,2010,2(4):1-6. |
| 作者姓名： | 王茜伏晴艳王自发王体健刘萍陆涛林陈渊段玉森黄嫣旻 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 上海市环境监测中心,上海,200030 2. 中国科学院大气物理研究所竺可桢-南森国际研究中心,北京,100029 3. 南京大学大气科学系,江苏,南京,210093 4. 上海交通大学环境科学与工程学院,上海,200240 |
| 基金项目： | 上海市科委科研计划项目（08dz0581200） |
| 摘 要： | 介绍了上海市世博环境空气质量集合数值预报系统的框架,分析了各模式在上海市空气质量预报及排放源污染贡献测算中的应用情况,提出开发多种预报手段、实施集合预报是提高城市空气质量预报准确率的发展方向。 |
| 关 键 词： | 空气质量预报 集合数值预报 排放源 上海 |
| 收稿时间： | 6/4/2010 12:00:00 AM |
Application of Ensemble Numerical Model System on the Air Quality Forecast in Shanghai |
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| WANG Qian,FU Qing-yan,WANG Zi-f,WANG Ti-jian,LIU Ping,LU Tao,LIN Chen-yuan,DUAN Yu-sen,HUANG Yan-min.Application of Ensemble Numerical Model System on the Air Quality Forecast in Shanghai[J].Environmental Monitoring and Forewarning,2010,2(4):1-6. | |
| Authors: | WANG Qian FU Qing-yan WANG Zi-f WANG Ti-jian LIU Ping LU Tao LIN Chen-yuan DUAN Yu-sen HUANG Yan-min |
| Institution: | 1. Shanghai Environmental Monitoring Center, Shanghai 200030, China;2. Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China;3. Department of Atmospheric Science of Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210093, China ;4. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai JiaoTong University, Shanghai 200240,China |
| Abstract: | The air quality ensemble numerical model system for Expo 2010 in Shanghai was introduced. The application of this system on air quality forecast and the role played by emission sources from point emission, line emission and area emission on the concentrations of PM10, SO2 and NO2 was studied. Integrated forecast system based on the multiple forecasting tools will be the predominant trend to increase the accuracy of air quality forecast. |
| Keywords: | air quality forecast ensemble numerical forecast emission sources Shanghai |
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