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Parameter uncertainty and sensitivity in a liquid-effluent dose model
Authors:T C Hyman  D M Hamby
Institution:(1) Department of Nuclear Engineering Sciences, University of Florida, 32611 Gainesville, FL, USA;(2) Department of Environmental and Industrial Health, University of Michigan, 48109-2029 Ann Arbor, MI, USA
Abstract:Radioactive materials which are released into streams on the Savannah River Site (SRS) eventually flow into the Savannah River. Tritium, 90Sr, 137Cs, and 239Pu account for the majority of the radiation dose received by users of the Savannah River. This paper focuses on the dose uncertainties originating from variability in parameters describing the transport and uptake of these nuclides. Parameter sensitivity has also been determined for each liquid pathway exposure model. The models used here to estimate radiation dose to an exposed individual provide a range of possible dose estimates that span approximately one order of magnitude. A pathway analysis reveals that aquatic food and water consumption account for more than 95% of the total dose to an individual.
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