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A Jackknife Approach to Examine Uncertainty and Temporal Change in the Spatial Correlation of a VOC Plume
Authors:Mark D Varljen  Michael J Barcelona  H Allen Wehrmann
Institution:(1) Applied Hydrogeologic Research, Inc., 11824 North Creek Parkway N, Suite 105, Bothell, WA, 98011;(2) Dept. of Civil & Environmental Engineering, University of Michigan, 1221 IST Bldg., Ann Arbor, MI, 48109–2099;(3) Office of Ground-Water Quality, Illinois State Water Survey, 2204 Griffith Drive, Champaign, IL, 61820
Abstract:The application of geostatistics to spatial interpolation of time-invariant properties in ground-water studies (such as transmissivity or aquifer thickness) is well documented. The use of geostatistics on time-variant conditions such as ground-water quality is also becoming more commonplace. Unfortunately, the detection of temporal changes in spatial correlation through direct comparison of experimental semivariograms is difficult due to the uncertainty in sample semivariograms constructed from field data. This paper discusses the use of the jackknife approach to estimate confidence limits of semivariograms of trichloroethane (TC) and other volatile organic compounds (VOC) in contaminated ground-water in northern Illinois. Examination of the lsquospreadrsquo of the confidence limits about the semivariograms created from two types of sampling networks are discussed.
Keywords:confidence intervals  geostatics  ground-water  jackknife  spatial correlation  temporal variability  volatile organic compounds
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