Climate change decision-support and the tolerable windows approach |
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Authors: | T Bruckner G Petschel-Held FL Tóth H-M Füssel C Helm M Leimbach H-J Schellnhuber |
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Institution: | (1) Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Telegrafenberg, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany E-mail |
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Abstract: | The Tolerable Windows Approach (TWA) to Integrated Assessments (IA) of global warming is based on external normative specifications of tolerable sets of climate impacts as well as proposed emission quotas and policy instruments for implementation. In a subsequent step, the complete set of admissible climate protection strategies which are compatible with these normative inputs is determined by scientific analysis. In doing so, minimum requirements concerning global and national greenhouse gas emission paths can be determined. In this paper we present the basic methodological elements of TWA, discuss its relation to more conventional approaches to IA like cost–benefit analyses, and present some preliminary results obtained by a reduced-form climate model. |
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Keywords: | climate change climate policy integrated assessment inverse modeling uncertainty |
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