| 突变理论在环境预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵正跃,项成龙.突变理论在环境预测中的应用[J].中国环境监测,2002,18(4):59-60. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵正跃 项成龙 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 东阳市环境监测站,浙江,东阳,322100
2. 金华市环境监测站,浙江,金华 |
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| 摘 要： | 以某市七年来环境治理投资状况为序列建立多项式预测模型 ,尽管其拟合精度较高 ,但其预测结果偏离现实情况较大 ,通过突变理论分析知其原因在于有突变因素存在之故
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| 关 键 词： | 突变理论 环境预测 模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-6002(2002)04-0059-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年10月29 |
The application of catastrophe theory in the environmental forecast |
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| ZHAO Zheng yao,XIANG Cheng long.The application of catastrophe theory in the environmental forecast[J].Environmental Monitoring in China,2002,18(4):59-60. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Zheng yao XIANG Cheng long |
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| Abstract: | A polynomial forecast pattern was established according to investment conditions about environmental harness of some city for seven years Though the pattern had high analogue precision,the forecast result diverged large from the fact The reason lay in catastrophe factor in existence applying catastrophe theory on the problem |
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| Keywords: | catastrophe theory environmental forecast pattern |
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