道路交通安全研究方法

介绍了交通安全的研究方法和预测模型 ,并对统计分析、模糊数学分析及灰色理论方法进行了比较。在此基础上 ,介绍了适应我国目前交通安全研究现状的交通事故灰色预测研究方法 ,对交通事故发展趋势进行了预测。论文给出了相应的灰色预测模型及预测方法 ,预测结果与实际情况较吻合

Method of Study on Road Traffic Safety

Study method and predicting models for traffic safety are introduced. Comparisons on statistical analysis, fuzzy mathematical analysis and method of gray theory are made. It is on this basis, gray prediction method for traffic accidents, which is feasible for the study of the traffic safety in China, is introduced, and further development of the traffic accidents is predicted. Relevant model of gray prediction and predicting method are provided and exemplified in practice.