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事故隐患两阶段风险评价方法的研究
引用本文:张建航,程五一,杨延昭,彭建华.事故隐患两阶段风险评价方法的研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2009,19(1).
作者姓名:张建航  程五一  杨延昭  彭建华
作者单位:1. 中国地质大学(北京)工程技术学院,北京,100083;交通部科学研究院交通环保与安全研究中心,北京,100029
2. 中国地质大学(北京)工程技术学院,北京,100083
3. 交通部科学研究院交通环保与安全研究中心,北京,100029
基金项目:交通部西部交通建设科技项目 
摘    要:以事故隐患为研究对象,对当前各类事故隐患评价方法进行研讨,指出在事故隐患风险评价中存在的4个问题;提出把事故隐患风险评价分为事故隐患形成过程和事故隐患发展过程两个阶段进行;引入事故隐患可控性、事故隐患危害性等评价指标,建立新的评价指标体系,从而更为准确地评价事故隐患的风险性。将该评价方法在交通建设行业中应用,依据行业特征,将交通建设行业事故隐患分为5个风险等级。

关 键 词:事故  事故隐患  两阶段风险  风险评价  风险性

Study on the Two-stage Risk Evaluation Methods for Potential Hazards
ZHANG Jian-hang,CHENG Wu-yi,YANG Yan-zhao,PENG Jian-hua.Study on the Two-stage Risk Evaluation Methods for Potential Hazards[J].China Safety Science Journal,2009,19(1).
Authors:ZHANG Jian-hang  CHENG Wu-yi  YANG Yan-zhao  PENG Jian-hua
Abstract:All kinds of assessment methods for potential hazards were studied, and four problems existing in the risk assessment were pointed out. It was proposed that the risk assessment can be divided into two-stage assessment that includes the one in the forming process of potential hazards and the one in the developing process of potential hazards. Meanwhile, by introducing the assessment index of hazard controllability and hazard harmfulness, a new assessment index system was established, which was more effective in the risk assessment of potential hazards. Finally, the risk of potential hazards in traffic construction industry was assessed with this method, and five risk grades were obtained.
Keywords:accident  potential hazards  two-stage risk  risk evaluation  risk
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