| 改进的加权C-F模型方法在煤矿安全评估中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李英龙,莫尚丰,周志强.改进的加权C-F模型方法在煤矿安全评估中的应用[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 李英龙 莫尚丰 周志强 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 湖南科技大学数学与计算科学学院,湖南湘潭411201;中国人民大学信息学院,北京100872
2. 湖南科技大学管理学院,湖南湘潭,411201 |
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| 基金项目： | 湖南省教育厅资助科研项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 为在不确定的条件下准确地评估煤矿生产安全风险,构建煤矿安全评估证据体系(体系分为3级,包括3个一级证据,6个2级证据,22个3级证据),基于该体系和改进的加权C-F模型方法,提出一种新的煤矿安全评估方法。在煤矿安全领域专家给定推理规则强度和证据加权因子等数据下,应用该模型方法对不同类型煤矿进行计算机仿真实验,结果表明该方法在不确定条件下,能智能地评估煤矿企业生产安全风险,为提升煤矿安全生产和科学决策水平提供指导。
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| 关 键 词： | 煤矿安全 不确定推理 证据 加权因子 可信度因子 |
Application of Improved Weighted C-F Model & Method in Coal Mine Safety Assessment |
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| LI Ying-long,MO Shang-feng,ZHOU Zhi-qiang.Application of Improved Weighted C-F Model & Method in Coal Mine Safety Assessment[J].China Safety Science Journal,2011,21(1). |
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| Authors: | LI Ying-long MO Shang-feng ZHOU Zhi-qiang |
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| Institution: | LI Ying-long1,2 MO Shang-feng1,2 ZHOU Zhi-qiang3 (1 School of Mathematics & Computational Science,Hunan University of Science & Technology,Xiangtan Hunan 411201,China 2 School of Information,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China 3 School of Management,China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to accurately assess the safety risk of coal mine production under uncertain conditions,an assessment evidence system(including 3 first-grade evidences,6 second-grade evidences and 22 third-grade evidences) is constructed,and safety assessment model and method for the coal mine production management are proposed based on improved weighted C-F model under such assessment evidence system.According to the inference rules' values and evidence weights given by coalmine field experts,computer simulation ... |
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| Keywords: | coal mine safety uncertainty reasoning evidence weight factor certainty factor |
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