| 事故定性分析与事故定量预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 谢贤平,赵梓成.事故定性分析与事故定量预测[J].中国安全科学学报,1993,3(3):18-22. |
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| 作者姓名： | 谢贤平 赵梓成 |
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| 作者单位： | 昆明工学院矿山节能与安全技术研究所 教授(谢贤平)，昆明工学院矿山节能与安全技术研究所 讲师(赵梓成) |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了影响事故预测准确的原因,综述了国内外许多学者在事故预测方面所做的努力。指出今后事故预测工作的主要途径是由安全系统工程专家建立计算机支持的决策支持系统(DSS),由安全专家灵活运用这个系统中的计算机辅助研究方法(CAR)。
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| 关 键 词： | 事故 预测 决策支持系统 计算机辅助研究 |
ON ACCIDENT FORECASTING AND ACCIDENT QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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| Xie Xian-ping Zhao Zi-cheng.ON ACCIDENT FORECASTING AND ACCIDENT QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS[J].China Safety Science Journal,1993,3(3):18-22. |
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| Authors: | Xie Xian-ping Zhao Zi-cheng |
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| Institution: | Xie Xian-ping~* Zhao Zi-cheng~(**)(Kunming Institute of Technology) * professor **lecturer |
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| Abstract: | In this paper factors for accident forecasting are discussed, and many efforts about this researches made by specialists all over the world are reviewed. And forthermore, the main way for accident forecasting in the days to come is presented—establishing the decision support system(DSS)based on the computer by the safety system engineers, and applying the computer aided research (CAR) methods to the system by the safety specialists, (experts) choice. The real examples is carried out with satisfactory results. |
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| Keywords: | Accident Forecasting Decision support system(DSS) Computer aided research (CAR) |
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