基于社会科学统计程序(SPSS)回归性分析的尾矿库事故预测模型

基于社会科学统计程序(SPSS)软件的分析功能,对调查研究中获取的尾矿库案例进行数据提炼和分类编码,找出相关因子并进行回归性分析。最终目的是找出尾矿库各个因素的内在联系,建立简单的尾矿库事故模型,从而可以初步预测尾矿库事故发生的可能性。该预测模型为尾矿库事故的研究提出了新方法,对于防灾减灾以及保护人民生命财产安全起到了积极作用。

Accident Prediction Model for Tailings Reservoir Based on Regression Analysis of SPSS

Base on the statistical analysis function of SPSS(statistical package for social sciences),the data from accident cases of tailings reservoir were extracted and classified,correlated factors were found out and on which a regression analysis was made.The ultimate goal for this work was to find out the interaction of the factors affecting the safety of tailings reservoir,set up a simple accident prediction model for tailings reservoirs and thus could make a preliminary prediction of the possibility of accident occurring at tailings reservoir.This established prediction model provides a new method for studying the accidents of tailings reservoir,and plays an active role in disaster control and life protection.