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脆弱性基本原理与控制方法
引用本文:宋守信,许葭,陈明利,翟怀远.脆弱性基本原理与控制方法[J].安全,2020(4):1-6.
作者姓名:宋守信  许葭  陈明利  翟怀远
作者单位:北京交通大学风险管理研究所;上海工程技术大学城市轨道交通学院
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重点项目资助(13AZD088)。
摘    要:本文从社会进步导致自反性危机出发,通过对风险承载体脆弱性构成要素暴露度、敏感度、适应度的分析,提出了三特征要素递次演化的模型;并根据脆弱性的递次演化的特点,提出了对脆弱性的辨识和递次管控的基本思路;最后,依据对地铁运行安全管理脆弱性的研究,进行脆弱性管理的实证分析。

关 键 词:自反性危机  安全风险  脆弱性  递次演化  地铁安全管理

Basic Principle and Control Method of Vulnerability in Safety Risk
SONG Shouxin,XU Xia,CHEN Mingli,ZHAI Huaiyuan.Basic Principle and Control Method of Vulnerability in Safety Risk[J].Safety,2020(4):1-6.
Authors:SONG Shouxin  XU Xia  CHEN Mingli  ZHAI Huaiyuan
Institution:(Institute of Risk Management,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;School of Urban Rail Transportation,Shanghai University ofEngineering Science,Shanghai 201620,China)
Abstract:Based on the theoretical basis of reflexive crisis caused by social progress,this paper analyzes the elements of vulnerability to risk carriers.That is to say,the connotation of exposure,sensitivity and adaptability,as well as their relationship are analyzed,and then a model of the recurrence evolution of the three characteristic elements is proposed.At the same time,according to the characteristics of the recursive evolution of vulnerability,the basic ideas of vulnerability identification and recursive control are put forward.Finally,according to the research results of the vulnerability of subway operation safety management,an empirical analysis of vulnerability management is carried out.
Keywords:reflexivity risk  safety risk  vulnerability  recurrence evolution  subway safety management
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