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ISM耦合ANP的洞室施工人员风险感知系统脆弱性仿真分析
引用本文:江新,陈瑶,胡文佳,李炜,郑霞忠.ISM耦合ANP的洞室施工人员风险感知系统脆弱性仿真分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(3):121-127.
作者姓名:江新  陈瑶  胡文佳  李炜  郑霞忠
作者单位:(1.三峡大学 湖北省水电工程施工与管理重点实验室,湖北 宜昌 443002;2.三峡大学 水利与环境学院,湖北 宜昌 443002)
基金项目:收稿日期: 2018-12-01
摘    要:为了深入探究地下洞室施工人员对施工风险的感知能力,基于系统理论,以地下洞室施工人员的风险感知系统为研究对象,结合解释结构模型(ISM)、网络层次分析法(ANP)和系统动力学(SD)建立地下洞室施工人员风险感知系统脆弱性仿真模型,对其脆弱性变化趋势进行仿真模拟。研究结果表明:工人自身因素和状态对风险感知系统脆弱性影响最大,在施工时应该时刻关注工人的身心状态,通过加大安全教育培训、增强安全监管力度等措施来促进工人的安全意识。

关 键 词:风险感知  脆弱性  ISM  系统动力学  仿真分析

Simulation analysis on vulnerability of risk perception system for cavern construction workers with ISM coupling ANP
JIANG Xin,' target="_blank" rel="external">,CHEN Yao,' target="_blank" rel="external">,HU Wenjia,' target="_blank" rel="external">,LI Wei,' target="_blank" rel="external">,ZHENG Xiazhong,' target="_blank" rel="external">.Simulation analysis on vulnerability of risk perception system for cavern construction workers with ISM coupling ANP[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2019,15(3):121-127.
Authors:JIANG Xin  " target="_blank">' target="_blank" rel="external">  CHEN Yao  " target="_blank">' target="_blank" rel="external">  HU Wenjia  " target="_blank">' target="_blank" rel="external">  LI Wei  " target="_blank">' target="_blank" rel="external">  ZHENG Xiazhong  " target="_blank">' target="_blank" rel="external">
Institution:(1. Hubei Key Laboratory of Construction and Management in Hydropower Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China;2. College of Hydraulic & Environmental Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China)
Abstract:In order to deeply explore the perception capacity of the construction workers of underground cavern on the construction risk, based on the system theory, and taking the risk perception system of the construction workers of underground cavern as the research object, a simulation model on the vulnerability of risk perception system for the construction workers of underground cavern was established by using the interpretative structural modeling method (ISM), analytic network process (ANP) and system dynamics (SD), then the simulation on the change trend of vulnerability was carried out. The results showed that the own factors and status of the workers had the greatest influence on the vulnerability of the risk perception system.
Keywords:risk perception  vulnerability  ISM  system dynamics  simulation analysis
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