系统操作者与管理者行为的博弈演化与收益分析*

为研究工程项目系统中，操作者安全行为与管理者奖惩行为的相互博弈情况，确定操作者和管理者收益，提出博弈演化与收益分析方法。操作者代表系统实际使用者，行为包括安全和不安全行为；管理者代表系统管理者和所有者，行为包括奖励和惩罚行为。确定方法的基本参数；研究博弈演化过程的博弈逻辑关系，从悲观和乐观角度研究二者不同行为相互作用后的收益关系，给出操作者收益和管理者收益的逻辑表达式。结果表明:方法能得到博弈过程演化结果，同时能根据收益结果表达式判断博弈胜出方。

Game evolution and profit analysison behavior of system operators and managers

In order to study the mutual game between the safety behavior of operators and the reward and punishment behaviors of managers in the engineering project system,and determine the profits of operators and managers,a method of game evolution and profit analysis was proposed.The operators represented the actual users of system,whose behavior included the safe and unsafe behavior.The managers represented the managers and owners of system,whose behavior included the reward and punishment behaviors.The basic parameters of the method were determined,and the game logic relationship in the game evolution process was studied.The profit relationship of both of them after the interaction of different behavior was studied from the perspectives of pessimism and optimism,and the logic expressions of the operators’ profit and managers’ profit were given.The results showed that the method could obtain the evolution results of game process and judge the game winner according to the expressions of profit results.