| 我国旱涝空间型的马尔科夫概型分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 陈育峰.我国旱涝空间型的马尔科夫概型分析[J].自然灾害学报,1995,4(2):66-72. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 陈育峰 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 中国科学院地理研究所资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室 北京 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家“八五”科技重点攻关项目85-724-01成果 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 旱涝灾害在我国是影响最大、也最为频繁的气候灾害。本文利用马尔科夫概型分析的原理和方法，在验证了我国旱涝空间型序列具有马尔科夫性质的基础上，计算出各状态的转移概率，进而分析了旱涝空间型序列的静态和动态结构，并揭示出旱涝空间型各状态演化的优势倾向。
|
| 关 键 词： | 气象灾害 旱涝空间型 马氏概型分析 |
THE MARKOVIAN PROBABILITY MODEL ANALYSIS ON SPATIAL TYPES OF FLOOD/DROUGHT DISASTERS IN CHINA |
| |
| Chen Yufeng.THE MARKOVIAN PROBABILITY MODEL ANALYSIS ON SPATIAL TYPES OF FLOOD/DROUGHT DISASTERS IN CHINA[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,1995,4(2):66-72. |
| |
| Authors: | Chen Yufeng |
| |
| Abstract: | In China, flood/drought disasters both are of the greatest influent degrees and distributing ranges, and most frequent. In this paper, by the Markovian probability model analysis, and on the basis of ensuring the significant Markovian quality of spatial-type series of flood/drought disaster in China, the transitional probability among spatial types was calculated, and the static and dynamic structures of spatial-type series were analyzed. Then, the main evolution trends of spatial types was brought to light. |
| |
| Keywords: | Meteorological disaster Brew disaster system Spatial types of flood/drought disasters Markovian probability model analysis |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
