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铁路泥石流防治安全性及综合减灾决策的研究
引用本文:姚令侃,沈寿长.铁路泥石流防治安全性及综合减灾决策的研究[J].自然灾害学报,1995(Z1).
作者姓名:姚令侃  沈寿长
作者单位:铁道部科学研究院西南分院,铁道部科学研究院西南分院 成都 610031,成都 610031
摘    要:本文介绍铁泥石流防治方案的安全性评估及综合减灾决策技术。文中首先提出了以风险性分析为指导的铁路泥石流防治方案规划原则;然后介绍了综合减灾方案安全性的概念,以及用事故树和计算机仿真技术计算安全度的方法,最后对综合减灾决策模式进行了探讨。

关 键 词:泥石流  综合防治  铁道灾害

RESEARCH ON THE SAFETY OF DEBRIS FLOW PREVENTION SYSTEM ON RAILWAYS AND COMPREHENSIVE DECISION-MAKING FOR DISASTER MITIGATION
Yao Lingkan Shen Shouchang.RESEARCH ON THE SAFETY OF DEBRIS FLOW PREVENTION SYSTEM ON RAILWAYS AND COMPREHENSIVE DECISION-MAKING FOR DISASTER MITIGATION[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,1995(Z1).
Authors:Yao Lingkan Shen Shouchang
Abstract:The method for the safety analysis of debris flow prevention and control along railways and the technology of comprehensive decision-making for mitigating debris flow disasters are investigated. First, the principle for planning the scheme of debris flow protection is presented under the direction of risk assessment. Then, the concept of protective system safety on railways is introduced, and the method to calculate the safety by means of computer simulation and fault tree analysis is also established. Finally, the model of the comprehensive decision-making is discussed.
Keywords:Debris Flow Integrated control Disaster on railways
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