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| 交通事故中摩托车驾驶员年龄因素的风险分析--以云南省河口县为例 | |
| 引用本文： | 李金锋,刘明科,黄崇福,唐于渝.交通事故中摩托车驾驶员年龄因素的风险分析--以云南省河口县为例[J].自然灾害学报,2005,14(6):120-124. |
| 作者姓名： | 李金锋 刘明科 黄崇福 唐于渝 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 北京师范大学,资源学院灾害与公共安全研究所,北京,100875;北京师范大学,环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室,北京,100875 2. 云南省河口县交通警察大队,云南,河口,661300 3. 北京师范大学,地理与遥感科学学院,北京,100875 |
| 摘 要： | 近年来云南省河口县的交通事故率不断上升,其中摩托车造成的交通事故尤为突出,这一方面是由于摩托车数量的增加,另一方面是由于对驾驶员的管理不够严格.不同年龄段驾驶员的风险水平不同.用模糊区间信息矩阵分析了最近3年的交通事故数据,发现26～30岁年龄段的风险水平最高,因此建议当地政府应该加强对这一年龄段驾驶员的管理力度. |
| 关 键 词： | 交通事故 信息矩阵 风险 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-4574(2005)06-0120-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年11月24 |
Risk analysis of motorcycle drivers' age factor in traffic accident rate: a case study on Hekou County, Yunnan Province |
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| LI Jin-feng,LIU Ming-ke,HUANG Chong-fu,TANG Yu-yu.Risk analysis of motorcycle drivers'''' age factor in traffic accident rate: a case study on Hekou County, Yunnan Province[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2005,14(6):120-124. | |
| Authors: | LI Jin-feng LIU Ming-ke HUANG Chong-fu TANG Yu-yu |
| Abstract: | The increasing traffic accident rate in Hekou County,Yunnan Province has caught much attention of the local government.There are several factors contributing to the high accident rate such as the driver,the environment and the vehicle,especially the motorcycles.One reason for that is the increased number of motorcycles.Lack of rigorous management of motorcycle drivers is an another reason.The risk of causing accidents varies among drivers at different ages.The traffic accident information in these three years is analysed by using with fuzzy interval information matrix analysis.Then a conclusion is drawn that the drivers of the age between 26 and 30 are in the highest risk.Therefore, the local government should strengthen the management of motorcycle drivers at that age group. |
| Keywords: | traffic accident information matrix risk |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |