| 江西崩滑流灾害的诱发条件与预测初探 |
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| 引用本文： | 单九生,魏丽,刘修奋,朱星球,刘献耀.江西崩滑流灾害的诱发条件与预测初探[J].自然灾害学报,2007,16(3):12-17. |
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| 作者姓名： | 单九生 魏丽 刘修奋 朱星球 刘献耀 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]江西省环境预报中心,江西南昌330046 [2]江西省地质勘探院,江西南昌330012 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技部科研院所社会公益专项研究项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过统计和分析产生滑坡、崩塌、泥石流等地质灾害的地形、地质和、降水条件，发现地质环境决定了地质灾害的可能发生区域、规模和强度，而降水则决定了滑坡、崩塌、泥石流等地质灾害发生的时段、可能区域和强度。同时，还提出了一个用日综合雨量预测地质灾害的概念模型。
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| 关 键 词： | 地质灾害 暴雨 雨量 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-4574（2007）03-0012-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-11-26 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-11-262007-04-26 |
Preliminary study on triggering conditions and prediction of collapse, landslide and debris-flow in Jiangxi Province |
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| SHAN Jiu-sheng,WEI Li,LIU Xiu-fen,ZHU Xing-qiu,LIU Xian-yao.Preliminary study on triggering conditions and prediction of collapse, landslide and debris-flow in Jiangxi Province[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2007,16(3):12-17. |
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| Authors: | SHAN Jiu-sheng WEI Li LIU Xiu-fen ZHU Xing-qiu LIU Xian-yao |
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| Institution: | 1. Jiangxi Environment Prediction Center, Nanehang 330046, China ;2. Jiangxi Academy of Geological Exploration, Nanehang 330012, China |
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| Abstract: | The landform, geology and precipitation conditions, that cause the geological hazards such as the landslide, collapse and debris-flow, were analyzed statistically. The results show the the geological environment determines geological hazards possiblely occurring places, scale and intensity and the precipitation determines the hazards occurring period of time, possible places and intensity. Meanwhile, a notional model was developed, in which the combined daily precipitation was used to predict the geological hazards. |
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| Keywords: | geological hazard rainstorm rainfall |
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