| 中国东部沿海省市风暴潮经济损失风险区划 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵领娣,陈明华.中国东部沿海省市风暴潮经济损失风险区划[J].自然灾害学报,2011(5). |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵领娣 陈明华 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国海洋大学经济学院;中国建设银行营运管理部; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金面上项目(71073150); 国家教育部留学回国人员科研启动基金(教外司留[2009]8号); 山东省软科学研究计划项目(2008RKA081) |
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| 摘 要： | 风暴潮是我国沿海省市面临的重大自然灾害之一,给这些地区造成了难以估量的损失。选取1989-2008年沿海11省、市、自治区风暴潮的历史数据作为研究样本,运用因子得分基础上的聚类分析和熵值评价等方法,对这些地区风暴潮灾害经济损失的风险进行了评估,最终按风暴潮灾害的经济损失程度将沿海省市划分为3个区域:即上海为第1区,表示风暴潮经济损失风险最小;海南、福建、浙江、广东4省为第3区,风险最大;其他省、市、自治区为第2区,表示经济损失风险居中。3个区域的灾害区划,为我们从更深层次上认识风暴潮的发生及是造成的损失情况提供了新的视角。
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| 关 键 词： | 风暴潮灾害 风险区划 沿海地区 |
Risk zoning of economic loss caused by storm surge in coastal provinces and cities of china |
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| ZHAO Ling-di,CHEN Ming-hua.Risk zoning of economic loss caused by storm surge in coastal provinces and cities of china[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2011(5). |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Ling-di CHEN Ming-hua |
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| Institution: | ZHAO Ling-di1,CHEN Ming-hua2(1.College of Economy,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 200671,China,2.Operation Management Department of China Construction Bank,Beijing 100032,China) |
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| Abstract: | Storm surges is one of the major natural disasters in coastal area of China,which has caused incalculable loss.In this paper,we selected 11 coastal provinces(municipalities,autonomous regions,)'storm surge data from the year 1989 to 2008 as a research sample,while the cluster analysis based on factor scores and evaluation of entropy methods were used to evaluate the disaster risk of storm surge in these areas.According to extent of loss,these areas can be divided into three kinds: Shanghai has the smallest ... |
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| Keywords: | storm surge risk zoning coastal area |
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