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大中城市震害预测与辅助决策的空间分析
引用本文:肖兰喜,袁一凡,朱元清,杜宪宋,王方建,任锡太.大中城市震害预测与辅助决策的空间分析[J].自然灾害学报,2002,11(3):76-82.
作者姓名:肖兰喜  袁一凡  朱元清  杜宪宋  王方建  任锡太
作者单位:1. 山东省地震局,山东,济南,250014
2. 中国地震局工程力学研究所,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150080
3. 上海市地震局,上海,200062
基金项目:中国地震局“九五”重点资助项目 ( 95 -0 6 -0 2 -0 9),国家“十五”科技攻关资助项目 ( 2 0 0 1BA6 0 1B -0 4-0 2 -0 2 )
摘    要:利用GIS的空间分析功能,对大中城市防震减灾示范研究成果进行了空间区划分析,给出了城市高危害街区的计算方法和结果,同时给出了各种结构类型房屋破坏面积、人员伤亡和无家可归人口数在各个街区的空间分布结果,以及基于此空间分布结果的医疗救护、人员疏散和物资供应等辅助决策分析。该分析的主要意义在于能充分了解大中城市潜在震害的空间分布,为震前采取相应预防措施和震后开展应急救灾工作提供了方便。

关 键 词:大中城市  震害预测  辅助决策  空间分析  高危害街区  指标  GIS  地理信息系统
文章编号:1004-4574(2002)03-0076-07
修稿时间:2001年10月8日

Spatial analysis of earthquake disaster prediction and assistant decision-making in urbs
XIAO Lan-xi ,YUAN Yi-fan ,ZHU Yuan qing ,DU Xian song ,WANG Fang jian ,REN Xi tai.Spatial analysis of earthquake disaster prediction and assistant decision-making in urbs[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2002,11(3):76-82.
Authors:XIAO Lan-xi  YUAN Yi-fan  ZHU Yuan qing  DU Xian song  WANG Fang jian  REN Xi tai
Institution:XIAO Lan-xi 1,YUAN Yi-fan 2,ZHU Yuan qing 3,DU Xian song 1,WANG Fang jian 1,REN Xi tai 1
Abstract:In this paper, by using the software Arcview 3.2(GIS),the regionalization analysis of findings of research on earthquake prevention and disaster mitigation in Urban area is conducted. The method and results of calculating high risk blocks are presented. At the same time, the damage area of all kinds of building structure, casualties and the number of homeless people in every block are given. On the basis of these spatial distribution results, the analysis of assistance decision making, such as, medical rescue, personnel evacuation, and stuff supply are obtained. This spatial analysis is meaningful in understanding the distribution of potential earthquake disaster, and convenient for making corresponding protection measures before future earthquake and doing the emergency rescue work after future earthquake.
Keywords:high disaster block  index  spatial analysis  assistant decision  making
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