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深圳市环境污染与经济增长关系的实证研究
引用本文:方伟成,孙成访.深圳市环境污染与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].再生资源与循环经济,2012,5(7):17-20,28.
作者姓名:方伟成  孙成访
作者单位:东莞理工学院城市学院,广东东莞,523106
基金项目:东莞市社科联2010哲学社会科学项目
摘    要:采用深圳市1996—2009年的统计数据,分析了环境污染与经济增长之间的关系及其影响因素。结果表明,可吸入颗粒物浓度、工业废水排放量、工业废气排放量和工业固体废弃物产生量与人均GDP的拟合曲线呈现典型环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)特征,至2007年,这4个环境指标已经全部跨越拐点,目前处于EKC的右侧。同时,运用灰色关联法分析经济发展、社会发展、环境管理的变化趋势,探讨了深圳EKC的演变主要是由GDP增长、环保投资、职工年平均工资和技术进步等因子驱动的。

关 键 词:环境污染  经济增长  环境库兹涅茨曲线  灰色关联法

Empirical research on the relationship between environmental pollution and economic growth in Shenzhen
FANG Weicheng,SUN Chengfang.Empirical research on the relationship between environmental pollution and economic growth in Shenzhen[J].Recycling Research,2012,5(7):17-20,28.
Authors:FANG Weicheng  SUN Chengfang
Institution:(City College of Dongguan University of Technology,Dongguan 523106,China)
Abstract:This paper analyzed the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution and its influencing factors with data of Shenzhen from 1996 to 2009.The results showed that all the fitting curve of the concentration of TSP,industrial wastewater emissions,industrial waste gas emissions and industrial waste generation with per capita GDP showed typical EKC characteristics.Until 2007,these four environmental indicators have been all across the inflection point,and now at the right side of the Kuznets curve.Then,using the gray relative analysis method,this paper discussed the driving forces of Shenzhen’s EKC evolution from economic development,social development and environmental management.The results showed that the main factors are GDP growth,investment in environmental protection,average wage of workers,and technological progress.
Keywords:environmental pollution  economic growth  EKC  gray relative method
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