A Method for Integrated Assessment of Vulnerability to Climate Change in Siberian Forests: Example of Larch Area |
| |
Authors: | Sergey Venevsky |
| |
Institution: | (1) Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Pyzhevsky Lane 3, 109017 Moscow, Russia |
| |
Abstract: | The conceptual scheme of integrated assessment of vulnerability to climate change in Siberian forests is elaborated and applied
to the extensive area in Siberia covered by Larch forests. Forest stakeholders on the provincial level are identified to be
the most relevant for an integrated impact assessment. Organisation of the assessment study as a combination of
'top-down' and 'bottom-up' approaches is suggested. Major biophysical vulnerability indexes and regional syndromes are identified
as the growing stock and current increment averaged by administrative unit. Models and data suitability and quality for an
analysis of biophysical vulnerability in conditions of climate change are studied for Siberian forests and future development
trends are identified. An application of the elaborated conceptual scheme, which employs two models of different type and
forest inventory data, is presented for the Larch area. |
| |
Keywords: | climate change fire integrated assessment permafrost Siberian forests vulnerability |
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录! |