反舰导弹射击精度评估研究

分析了反舰导弹射击精度评估领域命中概率与圆概率偏差、命中区域圆概率偏差的分歧,提出了制导概率椭圆偏差和制导概率圆偏差的新概念。将反舰导弹飞行末段雷达导引头波束覆盖区域与打击目标水面舰艇轮廓大小进行了比对,根据比对结果划分为雷达导引头波束完全覆盖、部分覆盖和内嵌于目标三个等级,对应提出了命中概率评估方法、制导概率椭圆偏差评估方法和制导概率圆偏差评估方法。通过反舰导弹对快艇、驱护舰和航母三类目标射击精度评估算例验证了反舰导弹射击精度评估总体方案的全面性和三类方法的适用性。

Firing Accuracy Evaluation of Anti-ship Missile

By analyzing differences of hit probability method, circular error probable method and hit area circular error probable method in anti-ship missile firing accuracy evaluation, new concepts of guidance oval error probable method and guidance circular error probable method were proposed. By comparing the beam coverage area of missile seeker at the end of missile flight and the shape of the surface ship, the comparison results were divided into three grades which correspond to the missile seeker beam fully covered, partly covered and embed target, respectively. According to the three situations, the hit probability method, guidance oval error probable method and guidance circular error probable method to evaluate the hit accuracy were provided, respectively. Finally, the comprehensiveness of the general scheme for anti-ship missile firing accuracy evaluation and the applicability of the three new methods were verified with examples of anti-ship missile firing the mosquito craft, the destroyer and frigate and the aircraft carrier.