| 中国的产业产值与能源消耗碳排放相关性研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 童抗抗,马克明.中国的产业产值与能源消耗碳排放相关性研究[J].中国环境科学,2011,31(7):1212-1218. |
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| 作者姓名： | 童抗抗 马克明 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院生态环境研究中心,城市与区域生态国家重点实验室,北京 100085 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技支撑计划重大项目(2007BAC28B01); 国家“973”项目(2007CB407307); 城市与区域生态国家重点实验室自主项目(SKLURE2008-1-01) |
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| 摘 要： | 中国经济发展过程中,GDP对碳排放存在单向Granger因果关系.本研究通过2005~2007年30个省市区的产业产值和三次产业生产过程中能源消耗总碳排放量(简述为碳排放量)数据,探讨碳排放量与产业产值之间的线性相关关系.结果表明,总GDP与碳排放量之间,第二、三产业产值与碳排放量间存在显著的线性相关关系.第一产业产值与碳排放量之间不存在显著线性相关关系.以第二、三名义产业产产值为自变量拟合的方程比研究中其他方程能更好地计算碳排放量.
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| 关 键 词： | 碳排放 能源消耗 产业产值 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010-12-01; |
The relationship between GDP and CO_2 emissions from energy consumption in China |
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| TONG Kang-kang,MA Ke-ming.The relationship between GDP and CO_2 emissions from energy consumption in China[J].China Environmental Science,2011,31(7):1212-1218. |
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| Authors: | TONG Kang-kang MA Ke-ming |
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| Institution: | TONG Kang-kang,MA Ke-ming(State key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology,Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100085,China) |
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| Abstract: | During the long run of economic development in China,the unidirectional Granger causality runs from GDP to carbons emissions.This research explored the linear regression relationship between the GDP and the total CO2 emissions from energy consumption during the process of production by using statistical data from 2005 to 2007 in the 30 provinces of China.We find that the significant linear regression relationship exists between the total GDP and the total carbon emissions as well as the GDPs of secondary an... |
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| Keywords: | CO2 emission energy consumption GDP |
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