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上海市某区大气污染与居民糖尿病死亡关系的时间序列研究
引用本文:阚海东,贾健,陈秉衡.上海市某区大气污染与居民糖尿病死亡关系的时间序列研究[J].上海环境科学,2003,22(12):955-957,966.
作者姓名:阚海东  贾健  陈秉衡
作者单位:[1]复旦大学公共卫生学院环境卫生教研室,上海200032 [2]上海市闸北区疾病预防控制中心,上海200072
摘    要:2001年1月1日~2001年12月31日,采用时间序列的半参数广义相加模型,在控制气象因素,死亡的长期趋势、“星期几效应”等混杂因素的基础上,分析了上海市某区每日大气污染物浓度与居民糖尿病死亡的关系。结果表明,大气PM10、SO2和NO2日平均浓度每增加10μg/m^3,居民因糖尿病而死亡的相对危险度分别为1.017(95%可信限1.000~1.033)、1.029(95%可信限0.990~1.068)和1.059(95%可信限1.000~1.118)。因此,上海市某区目前的PM10、NO2水平对居民糖尿病死亡确有影响。

关 键 词:大气污染  糖尿病  死亡率  上海

A Time-series Study on Association of Ambient Air Pollution and Diabetes Mortality in Shanghai
Kan Haidong.A Time-series Study on Association of Ambient Air Pollution and Diabetes Mortality in Shanghai[J].Shanghai Environmental Science,2003,22(12):955-957,966.
Authors:Kan Haidong
Abstract:Objectives: To assess the association between air pollution and daily diabetes mortality. Methods: All death records of the deceased who lived in one urban district of Shanghai and died from diabetes from January 1 to December 31, 2001 were collected. Using a time series approach to study the acute effects of air pollu tion on diabetes mortality after controlling for long-term trends, weather variation, and day of the week. Results: An increase of 10ug/m3 of PM10, SO2 and NO2 corresponds to 1.008 (95%CI 1.000-1.016), 1.017 (95%CI 0.998-1.036), and 1.029 (95%CI 1.001-1.057) relative risk of diabetes mortality, respectively in Shanghai. Conclusions: The findings provided new evidence for the association between air pollution and acute diabetes mortality risk.
Keywords:Air pollution Diabetes Mortality Shanghai
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