耦合MOP与GeoSOS-FLUS模型的县级土地利用结构与布局复合优化

在自然资源整合不断加强,土地利用结构日趋复杂的形势下,采用单一土地利用结构优化方式难以有效满足区域土地利用合理规划的需求。综合考虑生态文明、乡村振兴、城乡融合等土地可持续利用目标,构建土地利用结构优化与布局优化的集成体系,对提升规划适用性具有积极作用。选取常州市金坛区为研究区,以经济效益与生态效益为优化目标,设置自然演变、经济优先和生态优先三种发展情景,在通过MOP(多目标规划)模型进行土地利用结构优化的基础上,利用GeoSOS-FLUS模型实现土地利用布局优化。结果表明:通过集成MOP和GeoSOS-FLUS模型,采用"结构+约束+布局+准则"研究模式探索县域单元下的土地利用结构布局优化,对调整土地利用结构,优化土地利用空间布局有一定帮助。从案例分析结果看,城镇工矿用地数量在自然演变和经济效益优先情景下分别增加了39%和95%;林地在生态效益优先情景下增加了40%;农村居民点在三种情景下分别减少33%、66%和66%。在三种发展情景下,空间格局都将面临城镇空间与生态空间两级分化的现象,后期区域发展中应加强城乡土地利用与生态保护协调发展,促进空间布局均衡化。

Coupled MOP and GeoSOS-FLUS models research on optimization of land use structure and layout in Jintan district

Faced with the background of natural resources integration and the more complex land use structure, it is difficult to effectively meet the demand for rational land use planning with a single land use structure optimization method. Considering the objectives of sustainable utilization of land use, ecological civilization, rural development, and urban-rural integration, we constructed an integrated system for land use structure and layout optimization, which will play a positive role in improving the applicability of planning. This study first sets three scenarios of natural evolution, economic priority, and ecological priority, and then uses the MOP model (multi-objective planning model) to calculate the optimal land use structure under different scenarios. Finally, it can carry on land use layout optimization based on the GeoSOS-FLUS model in 2030, Jintan district, Jiangsu province, China. Results show that, by integrating the MOP and GeoSOS-FLUS models and adopting the "Structure + Constraint + Layout + Criterion" approach to optimize the land use structure and layout in the county, it is conducive to optimize the quantitative land use structure and improve the land use spatial distribution; from the results of the case analysis, the area of industrial and mining land in cities and towns has increased by 39% and 95% under the natural evolution and economic efficiency priority scenarios; the forest land has increased by 40% under the eco-efficiency priority scenario; rural settlements decreased by 33%, 66% and 66%, respectively in the three scenarios. Under the three development scenarios, the spatial pattern will face the two-level differentiation of urban space and ecological space. In the later period of regional development, it is necessary to strengthen the coordinated development of urban and rural land use and ecological protection, and promote a balanced spatial distribution.