宝鸡市人水和谐评价研究

以宝鸡市为例建立区域人水和谐评价指标体系及评价模型。在阐述人水和谐内涵的基础上，构建宝鸡市人水和谐评价指标体系。根据对立统一可变模糊集理论及合作博弈思想，建立基于合作博弈权重的可变模糊集模型，评价人水复合系统的综合发展水平；以水系统和人类系统的综合发展水平为基础，采用协调性指数模型揭示两系统间的相互协调关系，由人水系统的信息熵得到人水复合系统的协调度，以此建立信息熵协调度模型，评价人水复合系统协调度；以人水复合系统综合发展水平和协调度为基础，综合评价人水复合系统的和谐度。应用此模型对宝鸡市2001—2010 年的人水和谐程度进行评价，和谐度在0.631~0.833 之间。与模糊物元评价模型结果对比分析，评价结果基本一致，表明文中模型有效可行，结果可靠。通过对宝鸡市人水和谐评价指标体系和评价模型研究，以期为人水和谐的深入研究提供一种实用可操作的定量评价方法。

Study on Human-Water Harmony Evaluation in Baoji City

The paper selects Baoji city as a research area, sets up the assessment index system, index assessment standards and the evaluation models to assess human-water harmony degree. To begin with the concept of human-water harmony, the authors establish a set of indicators with capacity to evaluate human-water harmony. Employing the opposites and unity variable fuzzy set theory and cooperation game theory, a variable fuzzy set model based on cooperation game weight is established to describe comprehensive development degree of human-water system. The coordination exponent model describes the mutual coordination relationship of water system and human system. Then the information entropy coordination degree model is proposed to assess the coordination degree of complex human-water system. Based on the data of comprehensive development degree and coordination degree of complex human-water system, the paper derives harmony degree assessment model. The proposed models are applied to assess the human-water harmony degree from the year 2001 to 2010 in Baoji city, and the lowest harmony degree value is 0.631 in 2002 and the highest harmony degree value is 0.833 in 2009. In general, the harmony degree shows a slow increasing trend in the past 10 years, which indicates water system and human system in Baoji city is becoming more and more harmonious. Assessment results are similar by comparing with the results from the fuzzy matter-element evaluation model, and the results show that the harmony degrees are in grade Ⅱ, Ⅲ and Ⅴ, which confirm the feasibility of the models and reliability of results. It also indicates that the research on the evaluation index system and models in this paper provides a practicable and operable method for assessing human-water harmony.